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Not only is the Attack on Iraq not about liberating the Iraqi people, it is not going to set them free.

The social climate of the Middle East will not change. The new rulers could very well end up being nearly as brutal as Hussein was. And the new rulers will likely end up gaining their rule through violent fighting.

The Bush regime seems to flip-flop on its purported agenda for the country. Sometimes they say that they support democracy. Sometimes they admit that given a democratic system, it is likely that a scary religious fundamentalist government would emerge. Keep this in mind if the U.S. backs off from supporting a democratic system.

How will the new regime be different from the old one? I'm pretty sure it won't treat its subjects as badly as Hussein did, but I'm talking about in big ways. You could say that the new ruler won't use chemical weapons on its own people, but Hussein hadn't done that in years. In fact, he hadn't done that since he lost the U.S.'s backing. (We helped him, not only with technical assistance, but with tactical planning in the Iran Iraq war. And we knew he would attack the Kurds with what he gained from us.) You could also say the new rulers won't be invading any other countries, but after the Gulf War, Hussein wasn't able to even try that again.

What do you think? Am I being too pessimistic? How much do you think life will improve for the average Iraqi?

Date: 2003-04-15 01:27 pm (UTC)From: [identity profile] seamusd.livejournal.com
Life for the average Iraqi will get a lot worse before it ever gets better. But now the US government (read: US taxpayers) will have to invest large sums and much effort to right the wrong.

Date: 2003-04-15 02:15 pm (UTC)From: [identity profile] tequilasunset.livejournal.com
Unfortunately I think you're being very realistic. I don't imagine
anything will be better for the average Iraqi.
And of course the attack wasn't motivated by the desire to
liberate anyone; just more bullshit from the bullshit factory.

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